CM – Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates – odds, tips and predictions

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The Atlanta Braves (41-42) and Pittsburgh Pirates (30-53) open a three-game series at PNC Park on Monday evening, with the first pitch scheduled for 7:05 pm. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around Braves vs. Pirates odds with MLB picks and predictions.

LHP Max Fried is the planned starting pitcher for the Braves. He is 5-4 with 4.16 ERA, 1.31 WHIP, 8.9 K / 9 and 3.2 BB / 9 in 62 2/3 IP over 12 starts.

Fried is 3-1 in his last four starts and allowed three runs or less in each appearance. He had 3.58 ERA in June, streaking 28 in 27 2/3 innings.

Fried has made two starts against the Pirates in his career and allowed six runs in eleven innings with just five strikeouts.

RHP Chase De Jong is the planned starting pitcher for the Pirates. He is 0-3 with 5.65 ERA, 1.57 WHIP, 8.2 K / 9 and 3.5 BB / 9 in 28 2/3 IP over six starts.

De Jong has his last three starts lost, allowing for 10 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in those three games.

In his final start, he gave up five runs with nine hits in just five innings against the Colorado Rockies, an 8-0 loss of Pittsburgh. He has never competed against the Braves in his career.

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MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 10:37 PM ET.

The Braves have gotten a little on track in the last week or so, taking two out of three from both the Marlins and Mets since June 29th .

The Pirates ended their six-game losing streak with a 2-0 win over the Brewers on Sunday, but they haven’t had more than two runs since June 27th.

I like that win the BRAVES (-190) tonight on the street against the worst formation in baseball.

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The Pirates are only 1-6 ATS in their last seven games and are struggling to keep the games competitive.

Their total of 10 runs in their last seven games are an example of how bad they are the Pirates played offensively while allowing at least six runs five times in their last six games.

Bet BRAVES -1.5 (-120) to cover the spread and win with a few runs. < The totals have gone down seven of the Braves' last 10 games, limiting their opponents to four or fewer runs in eight of the last nine games. Even in Fried's last four starts, the opponents only got nine runs overall.

Pittsburgh is unlikely to get more than a few runs, so I think the total will go below 9 (-115) tonight.

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