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After the drama of the Indian Wells Masters, the ATP Tour moves into the hall with two 250-level events in Antwerp and Moscow . Our tennis columnist Dan Weston gives an outlook on the coming week …
« But keep an eye out for the improving Botic van de Zandschulp, who has a great record at Challenger events in the hall and now has some good wins on the main tour. «
In the incredible months for British tennis, Cameron Norrie won the Indian Wells final last night with a comeback win over Nikoloz Basilashvili, in which the eight best players of the calendar year came to the end of the season next month of the ATP Tour Finals.
A good performance at the Paris Masters in several weeks’ time will almost certainly guarantee Norrie one of those last eight places, which would culminate in a breathtaking season for the Briton. With the top six in the calendar year ranking as well as with guaranteed entry, Norrie competes with greats such as Casper Ruud, Rafa Nadal, Jannik Sinner and Hubert Hurkacz – who is new to the top ten of the current ATP ranking for the first time – for the last few berths.
The already mentioned Sinner and Andrey Rublev are leading this week’s ATP events in Antwerp and Moscow, both from a seeding perspective and market leader from a stock market perspective. Events start in a couple of hours, so let’s go over them all briefly.
In Moscow, Rublev leads the field in his home country, and there are two other Russians – Karen Khachanov and Aslan Karatsev – who are also seedlings with bye benefit in the first round. Filip Krajinovic rounds off this seed. The last two years have been won by home players, with Andrey Rublev winning the last tournament played in 2019 and Khachanov triumphing in 2018, ending almost a decade here without a home title for a Russian player.
Tournament favorite Rublev has a difficult potential opening game in the second Round, while 2018 and 2019 runner-up Adrian Mannarino is drawn against him (assuming the French pass Roman Safiullin in the first round), while improving Ilya Ivashka won’t be a problem either. With the second quarter looking competitive too, it’s far from Rublev’s ability to defend his title.
The bottom half of the draw looks a bit weaker, especially Aslan Karatsev’s fourth quarter. This year was something of a breakthrough for Karatsev, although he was more volatile in the second half of the season. However, he has taken some decent underdog wins lately against Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov – and in a weaker field here compared to Indian Wells, things should go well.
In Antwerp, Sinner leads the market with a current status of 4.2016 / 5, with greats such as Roberto Bautista-Agut, Diego Schwartzman and Reilly Opelka all fighting for second favorite status. The first two named have preliminary round bye tickets, as does Christian Garin on the clay court – Opelka has to do it the hard way with five games on his schedule.
The first quarter of Sinner looks simple, with a number of clay cracks and challengers Tour players and it would be a real surprise if the Italian didn’t win his quarter. Opelka’s status in the market is clearly being influenced by Garin’s third quarter, with the Chilean not likely to make the final stages in conditions he is unlikely to like.
Keep an eye out for the improving Botic van de Zandschulp, who has a great record at indoor Challenger events and is now taking some good wins on the main tour.
Finally, the fourth quarter fascinates with players like Alex De Minaur, Diego Schwartzman and not to forget Andy Murray, who all have their chances of at least reaching the semi-finals. This last category looks competitive and it will be particularly interesting to see how Murray does in some of these lower events towards the end of the season Match Odds Markets in the Sportsbook. Except for medical time off, T&Cs apply.
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