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« The opportunity to compete with Oval may therefore not come up too often. As we have said so often, bowling is key to this tournament and oval are the more economical «
Birmingham is back on track to finish in the top three. Before the game on Tuesday, they were in fourth place with two wins and two losses. The win last time against Trent Rockets, the runaway leaders, should have given them a big boost.
But not too much. There is nothing wrong with introspection. Those who won the 7/1 by winning a title will ask to drop Tom Helm, the pacemaker who keeps getting a game despite the terrible economy.
Helm costs Phoenix a crazy 2.19 runs per Ball. When you consider that the tournament average for inning rates is 1.4, how he gets a game is amazing. Dillon Pennington, a 6ft 4in destroyer, is certainly worth a try.
Opener Will Smeed was a find. He won the man of the game against the Rockets thanks to wild thugs and together with Finn Allen the pair could really cause damage.
The Invincibles are behind their loss to Supercharger when they showed a heavy bowling effort on Monday night Defeat Welsh Fire. It was their second win after a loss and a loss.
However, we are not convinced of their balance. Laurie Evans is not number 6. And we fear they are fast-paced. Nathan Sowter for Jordan Clark might make more sense given the importance of spinners.
At the moment it looks like the top teams will be throwing at least 60 spin balls (Leader Rockets approaching 80) and Oval can only do 40 with that lineup . In their defense, they’d say that only Tom Curran and Reece Topley cost more than the tournament average per ball. They want Colin Ingram to show some form with the bat too.
The Edgbaston rubber played in the two there Playing twice scored 144 points for the first inning. It’s not a study sample, of course, but the following data suggests that it could prove to be one of the better shot courses in the tournament. Oval were closer to the ball than Phoenix, so any game over the first inning run line at 145.5 may require them to hit first.
The hundred dates
Beat 1st average grade 138
RBP average 1.39
RBP average beat 2. 1.43
145 or more 6/13
Power play average 33.1
Powerplay ave hit 1. 30.8
Power play average hitting power 2nd 43.9
Favorite wins 8/13
Hunter wins 8/13
Phoenix are 1.8810 / 11 with oval 2.0621 / 20. We would have expected the odds to be reversed or at least a matter of choice.
The opportunity to contradict Oval may therefore not come too often. As we have said so many times, bowling is the key to this tournament and ovals are the more economical. They could really cut their advantage by choosing the Spinner Sowter.
However, we are interested in keeping the litter on our side as the hunter is starting to enjoy a bias. The prize should keep second on oval batting. Top value
Jason Roy and Liam Livingstone were both upgraded to the top oval and Phoenix bat, respectively. Roy starts on 3/1 and Livingstone on 10/3. The Phoenix openers Allen and Smeed won’t be surprised and cost 10/3 and 7/2. Both look clunky.
We think we might have found a strategy for the man of the game. The decision will be made through a social media vote and there is a slight trend that the player who wins the award will be produced in the second dig. This makes sense given the crowd’s attention span, timeliness bias, etc. Could the fabulous pacemaker Adam Milne be a post-litter replacement for Phoenix at 9s? Openers could also give us an advantage and we notice Allen and Smeed at 11s and 12s respectively.
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