The Copa Libertadores first legs are taking place this week and Nathan Joyes has picked a tip for each semi-final.
« However, the home side continued to silence their critics and score for fun at home – 18 in five games to be precise – and they have their own forward Mineiro to fear. »
Five months into the final qualifying round This year we only have four teams in the Copa Libertadores, where Brazil represent three of these teams. With both Palmeiras and Barcelona, my Antepost picks, still in the competition, I will be as unbiased as possible when analyzing the first semi-finals of this week …
I really don’t want to say the obvious here , but this is a big game for both sides – even more so for Palmeiras. I emphasize this because the current champions have to count their home advantage before the away game next week.
Your opponent, Atletico Mineiro, was arguably the most impressive team of the tournament, which proved their skills in the knockout phase and defeated the two Argentine giants Boca Juniors and River Plate.
Palmeiras will know that Mineiro can blow anyone on home soil, especially since the fans have been welcomed again in recent weeks – a privilege that Palmeiras must still have .
Mineiro’s fans saw a 3-0 demolition at Argentina’s River Plate and the result was very justified with a dominant performance by the Brazilians.
Mineiro’s top Copa Libertadores goalscorer, Hulk, has his this season Attack strength only increased and ex-Chelsea striker Diego Costa has been brought in since the last round, a deadly partnership that does not want to face any defense.
However, the home side have continued to silence their critics en and scored goals for the fun of it at home – 18 in five games to be precise – and had to fear a striker Mineiro of their own.
Rony has scored six goals, just the one behind Hulk, and will be Palmeiras’ greatest threat . If Palmeiras continues to play and attack his strengths instead of worrying about the attacking strength of the opponent, they can keep watching the goals flow at home. They will be very aware that if they want to reach the final in a row, a two-goal lead from the first leg is the goal.
While I think that is achievable, the chances of Palmeiras are the first leg to win, already quite generous at 2,506 / 4, which is worth a 1-point stake.
At a price of 1,201 / 5, the market expects that this draw will be over in the first leg. Flamengo, who have been the clear favorites throughout the competition, have made an easy way to the semi-finals, but just because the bets are suggesting they’ll make it to the final shouldn’t underestimate their Ecuadorian opponents.
Barcelona beat last year’s finalist Santos twice in the group stage en route to the semi-finals, which included a 2-0 win in Brazil. They kept Boca Juniors in Argentina in a 0-0 draw and only kept Fluminense 2-2 away in the quarter-finals thanks to a late, late penalty from Fred.
The Ecuadorian champions lost their first leg in the round of 16 against the Argentine Velez Sarsfield but that was only 1-0 and it was clear throughout the tournament that they rarely fall by the wayside as they only lost once by two goals in the Bolivian heat.
Flamengo on home soil can be fatal, however and they know this is their chance to send a signal to both Palmeiras and Mineiro, who will be keeping a close eye on this game.
Gabriel Barbosa has ten goals and three assists, while Giorgian De Arrascaeta has five goals and four assists although he is likely to be out due to injury.
With the market incredibly tight, it’s hard to find value in this one. However, I take the risk that the Barcelona defense won’t fold, and for the neutral and everyone who bet on my tip of 23.022 / 1 Barcelona it will be an exciting second leg in Ecuador if Barcelona are still in a draw.
Winning Flamengo but scoring less than 3.5 goals in the game costs 1.9520 / 21 and is also worth a 1-point stake.
Palmeiras defeats Atletico Mineiro @ 2.506 / 4 1ptFlamengo wins and under 3, 5 Tore @ 1.9520 / 21 1pt
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