For dangerous travel and hazardous conditions, a winter storm warning applies to the Inland Atlantic Ocean, Inland Sea and all counties of Cumberland
A winter weather warning remains in effect for the coast and all of Cape May County. This applies to harassment and is a less dangerous warning than the warning.
This will not be Easter Monday when part of South Jersey covered over a foot of snow and showed moderate coastal flooding in some places. However, this means the rapid return of snow plows, snow shovels and dangerous commuting on Friday morning.
Instead of 8 to 12 hours of snow on Monday, that should be six to eight hours of snow.
Compared to Wednesday there is an update of the Forecast. Namely, to postpone the timing of the storm. It will either rain or snow to start from midnight to 2am on Friday, but it will snow quickly after that. The worst will be early Friday morning. Though it can rain on the shore (more on this below).
The snow will come out southwest to northeast across the state between 6 a.m. and 9 a.m. Drifting snow will continue to create dangerous conditions well into the afternoon.
The forecast radar for Thursday night to Friday, according to the Canadian mode, which I prefer from Wednesday morning.
I have the area from 2.5 to Stretched 5 inches across South Jersey
A band of heavy snow is likely for early Friday somewhere in the backbone of the state – A Millville, Hammonton, or Jackson Township
I believe the lowest amounts will be in Cape May County south of the canal as well as on the immediate coast. Here the snow is wetter, which results in lower totals because fluffy snow can accumulate faster than wet snow. Still, this should be plowable snow for everyone.
Some models show that it will rain on the coast. There is a possibility of all rains on the shore. That being said, I believe there will be mostly snow on the islands.
« Cold creates cold, snow creates snow » is a mantra that many weather forecasters use and it’s important to apply it here. On average, the temperatures in January with a snow cover are nine degrees colder than where this is not the case.
Let’s assume that the wind comes from the east. With sea water temperatures of 43 degrees on Wednesday afternoon in Atlantic City, one could expect air temperatures of about 40 on the coast without a snow cover. That would mean that it is raining.
This graph shows the spread of high and low temperatures with and without snow cover between December and April. Snow covers play a key role in keeping the air cool. This will likely mean that Friday’s storm will be mostly snow. If the ground were bare, it would likely rain on the coast
If anything, I would love the shore except for an inch or two of snow. I still like my forecast for now, though.
Untreated roads will likely accumulate snow for most of the event. I anticipate dangerous journeys there.
Treated roads are fine if the snow falls easily. However, when the snow is heavier between 3 a.m. and 7 a.m., it builds up. This is because road temperatures should be below freezing during the storm, including during the day.
I don’t think the winds will pull with it. However, the combination of snow on trees and power lines combined with the winds can cause isolated outages, similar to Monday.
The winds will be weak when the storm starts. However, expect sustained winds of 15 to 25 miles per hour from sunrise to sunset on Friday. Gusts of wind should be everywhere in the 30s. Some gusts will be possible on the shore in the 1940s.
The almighty wind direction will be the key to predicting precipitation. They should be northeast from the start of precipitation until sunrise. Then they turn north and head northwest when the snow ends by 9am to 12pm. It stays from the northwest for the rest of the day.
Once you get a better grip on the forecast, it looks like the offshore wind won’t be blowing much longer. Onshore winds also get weaker than the offshore winds that blow later.
Monday’s storm was blowing winds from the north-northeast, which is almost a breeze from the land. Nevertheless the bank was flooded. That’s because we were one day after the new moon, which brings astronomically higher tides.
Motorists will be driving along Melrose and Delaware Avenues in Atlantic City on Monday, January 3, 2022, despite flooded water and snow . Edward Lea Staff Photograph / Press of Atlantic City
Saturday isn’t going to melt much. The sun is shining, but we will only be above freezing for two or three hours.
Sunday will be a day with good snowmelt. Temperatures will rise into the 1940s and rain showers will fall. However, it won’t wipe everything away.
Afterwards, a short visit to the polar vortex will lower the temperature. A little more snow is possible on early Monday, with daily highs in the mid-30s.
Then we are teenagers on Monday evening, maybe even on the shore. Tuesday will be bitterly cold. The maximums will be in the upper 20s. That’s about 15 degrees below average.
While Nor’easters bring everything from high winds to heavy rainfall to coastal flooding, meteorologist Joe Martucci says there is a simple phrase to define it. Joe explains what Nor’easters actually are and how they are made.
While Nor’easters bring everything from strong winds to heavy rainfall to coastal flooding, meteorologist Joe Martucci says it is one simple sentence there to define a Nor’easter. Joe explains what Nor’easter actually are and how they are made.
I’ve been a meteorologist at The Press since fall 2017. I have lived in New Jersey my entire life and graduated from Rutgers University with a degree in meteorology.
I am honored to be a six-time winner of the N.J. Press Association and a South Jersey « Top 40 Under 40 ».
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