CM – State of emergency for the snowy NJ Nor’Easter, here’s what you should know

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Governor Phil Murphy declared a state of emergency for the counties of Cumberland, Atlantic, Cape May, Ocean and Burlington. In cooperation with the public safety authorities of the district and the local authorities, the state can block roads, evacuate houses and take other measures to protect the public Ask for editions.

As a « South Jersey Special » it is quite possible that in typical snowy places like Newark and Morristown not even snow will fall. Even Philadelphia will land lower than our corner of the state.

Heavy snow Monday will come with high tides and gusty winds. Shore power outages can be caused by wind and driving, heavy snowfall.

Here’s what you should know as we await the biggest whiplash we have seen in a long time, from Sunday around the 60th through into a measurable snow Monday.

To accommodate this dynamic, multi-layered storm, the National Weather Service has issued a series of warnings.

Winter storm warnings apply to Cape May, Cumberland, Atlantic, Eastern Burlington and Ocean County of 3:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Monday. All of these counties, with the exception of Ocean and Burlington, were on winter storm watch early Sunday morning. Ocean and Burlington had no winter weather warnings and jumped straight for the warning.

Meanwhile, Salem County and the New Jersey Turnpike to western Burlington County have winter annoying snow warnings

This applies from 5am to 1pm Clock. Monday for the entire Jersey Shore plus Cumberland County.

This is sort of a downgrade by the National Weather Service. There was a clock in place that usually turns into a warning. However, this did not happen this time. A note applies to disruptive floods that are in a minor flood stage. The snow, of course, makes it more effective.

From Sandy Hook to Little Egg Inlet, along with Delaware Bay, a small boat notice applies until 6am on Monday.

A storm watch for winds of 34 knots or more more also applies from 6 a.m. to 6 p.m.

Until Sunday evening: warm and humid. A rain shower is possible at any time into the evening. Temperatures will be between 6:00 p.m. and 7:00 p.m. or so. From then on, the pattern-changing cold front will pass. South Jersey will be around 40 degrees by midnight.

Monday 2:00 am to 4:00 am: The Nor’Easter is on. Rain will upset the system in most places. Temperatures will drop into the 30s. Monday 4-6am: Rain turns into heavy snow, with maybe some sleet during the transition. Temperatures are dropping to the top 20s. It will be windy, with wind chills around the 20th.

Monday 6 a.m. to 2 p.m.: The worst storm. Heavy snowfall will mostly fall along the coast and in Cape May County. The snow changes from heavy, wet snow to fluffy snow. Blowing snow will be possible. Coastal flooding will peak between 7:30 am and 9:30 am and will aggravate stormy conditions.

I believe the snow will mix with sleet or rain on the coast. This would lower the grand total, but the impact will still be high. Monday 2pm to 6pm: Heavy snowfall, but mostly light. Expect snow to blow around. Temperatures will be in the mid to upper 20s and feel like you’re teenagers.

Monday night: Our coldest night of the season. Under clear skies, the lows fall to mid-inland teenagers. The bank will be about 20. Windchills will be around 10

Yes, we’re going from record warm Sunday to record snow Monday (2.8 « at Atlantic City International Airport and 0.4 » in Lower Township). It’s rare, but it can happen. It happens pretty common in the Great Plains and cities like Denver.

The cold front that goes by on Sunday night is serious. Farther west, where the cold front passes, there are frost warnings near the Texas-Mexico border. The high temperatures do not reach zero in parts of Minnesota and North Dakota, and snow is falling in Memphis.

At Atlantic City International Airport, we could break the record for the largest three hour drop in temperature in January, a drop of 29 degrees .

Storms thrive on temperature contrasts. The greater the temperature difference over a distance, the greater they can be. Part of the reason Nor’easter make it into folklore is because of the Gulf Stream, the warm current of ocean water a few hundred miles offshore. This warmth, relative to the latitude, always provides an additional energy kick when low-pressure systems go there.

In this case, the Gulf Stream provides more than usual warmth, but this cold front also provides the below-average cold. The combination of the two is fueling explosive growth.

Projected surface temperatures for Sunday night to Monday. Notice the colliding colors just offshore. Red stands for 70s, green for 30s. It is this temperature difference that will drive the storm.

Here is what the storm should look like. Note that all predictive radar graphics are sourced from PivotalWeather. I prefer the Canadian model, which is the only model that can pinpoint the heavy rainfall along the southeast coast at noon and the temperatures at high altitude.

Snow will be the pasty, wet snow that is difficult to shovel in the early morning. However, if colder air penetrates and snow growth is maximized, fat, fluffy flakes should fall after the morning drive by early afternoon.

Here, too, sleet is possible as the transition from rain to snow occurs. Then the coast and lower Cape May County could turn to sleet at any time. This would lower the totals, but it would have the same effect.

This is a sizable storm. I like a sweet spot somewhere in Upper Cape May County, Maurice River Township, or Estell Manor. This is because the likelihood of sleet mixing with snow is near zero after the rain transitions to wintry weather. At the same time, most total precipitation is expected.

However, this is a forecast with little reliability. Between the rapid development of this storm and the fact that the water temperatures go well into the 1940s, a change cannot be ruled out. As the Counts would agree, Cape May County is notoriously difficult to predict.

Heavy snowfall and tidal waves will make it very difficult to circumnavigate the islands and cross the bridges on Monday morning.

Bring your cars Sunday night in a garage or covered area to protect yourself from snow and water. The streets are likely to be a muddy mess in the morning. The tide usually peaks between 7:30 a.m. and 9:30 a.m., at the latest in the rear bays.

On some streets in the bay, 6 to 12 inches of water is expected. It only takes 6 inches of moving water to lift a car and 12 inches for an SUV.

A minor stage of flooding is expected, but we should get to a moderate stage of flooding in a few locations, mostly in Cape May County. Expect about a foot of water there in vulnerable spots. Undeveloped houses and businesses can take up water.

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The tide on Monday night is the lower of the two tides for the day. However, with the strong north-easterly winds blowing on land, we should be able to reach only a small flood stage, especially in Atlantic and Cape May Counties. I would only expect very localized problems

Small flood stage will return on Tuesday. It should be similar to Monday night, however, with limited problems. Winds combined with heavy snowfall can lead to blizzards on Monday. The official definition of a blizzard is snow or drifting snow with visibility of less than a quarter of a mile.

The wind will be stormy on Monday morning, typically blowing 20 to 30 miles per hour. However, as the center of the low pressure system approaches, the winds get stronger.

On the coast, expect peak gusts of around 45 miles per hour. When it snows, power outages and fallen branches can occur. Make sure your devices stay charged and that you can keep warm if the power goes out.

Inland, peak gusts should be around 35 mph. I do not expect any major damage here, even with falling snow.

We will keep you up to date with forecast videos and a live stream on our website during the night. I have been a meteorologist at The Press since autumn 2017. I have lived in New Jersey my entire life and graduated from Rutgers University with a degree in meteorology.

I am honored to be a six-time winner of the N.J. Press Association and a South Jersey « Top 40 Under 40 ».

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After a December full of unusually warm Days, South Jersey will likely start the New Year with snow.

Meteorologist Joe Martucci will answer your questions about the snowy northeast on Monday at 8:45 p.m. You can find the livestream right here on t …

Healthcare workers in the South Jersey area are changing their schedule in preparation for the forecast snowstorm on Monday.

All buildings in Atlantic City will be closed on Monday due to the forecast blizzard.

Keywords:

Winter storm,New Jersey,Phil Murphy,Winter storm, New Jersey, Phil Murphy,,,,

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