In a flyweight bout on Saturday’s main map, Ryan Benoit and Zarrukh Adashev will face each other at UFC on ESPN 28 at the UFC’s APEX facility in Las Vegas. Below we analyze the UFC odds and lines of ESPN 28 Benoit vs. Adashev with tips and predictions.
The preliminary rounds start at 6pm. ET on ESPN / ESPN, with the main card from 9:00 p.m. ET.
Benoit, also known as « Baby Face », checks into the octagon to catch a two-time loser. He lost to Tim Elliott by unanimous decision on July 15, 2020 and fell to Alateng Heili on December 21, 2019 by split decision. His last win was a KO / TKO in the third round on November 18, 2017 against Ashkan Mokhtarian. He had a two-year layoff between those fights due to a severe fractured rib injury.
Adashev has lost both fights since arriving at the UFC level. He suffered a KO / TKO loss in just 32 seconds against Tyson Nam on June 13, 2020, followed by a unanimous setback against Su Mudaerji on January 20. His last win came with the Bellator promotion via KO / TKO against Tevin Dyce October 26, 2019.
Odds via BetMGM; Access USA TODAY Sports betting odds for a complete list. The lines were last updated at 10:48 PM ET.
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BENOIT (-140) is a solid game on the 2-way-line against the Uzbek fighter Adashev. The latter has had a difficult time since signing with the UFC as he is looking for his first win since signing a deal.
Additionally, BENOIT ON POINTS (165) is a safe game, although very tempting to put him on to play the 7-way line for KO / TKO or DQ (400).
Benoit has walked the distance in his last two fights and four of his last five fights, and Adashev walked the distance last time. However, Benoit is a whirling dervish who will seek the target.
As such, play YES (-160): WILL THE FIGHT GO THE DISTANCE? for safe play. And if you want a little leeway. OVER 2.5 ROUNDS (-175) is not much more expensive.
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