The San Diego Padres (50-36) host the Washington Nationals (40-42) for the first game of their four-game set in Petco Park on Monday. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook’s lines around the Nationals vs. Padres odds with MLB picks and predictions.
San Diego grabbed a three-game decline by beating the Philadelphia Phillies at 11 on Sunday: 1 defeated. The Padres have won 13 of their last 20 games.
Washington was swept in a four-game series with the Los Angeles Dodgers and has cooled a bit lately, but is also 13-7 in the last 20 games.
Washington hasn’t officially announced its starter yet, but LHP Jon Lester is the planned starter. He’s 2-3 with 5.34 ERA (57 1/3 IP, 34 ER), 1.55 WHIP, 3.5 BB / 9 and 6.1 K / 9 this year.
RHP Joe Musgrove takes the hill for the padres. He is 5-6 with 2.63 ERA (89 IP, 26 ER), 0.88 WHIP, 2.2 BB / 9 and 10.7 K / 9 over 15 starts and a relief appearance.
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MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; Visit USA TODAY Sports for a full list. The odds were last updated at 5:45 p.m. ET.
BET on the PADRES (-250) for 1 unit because they have an advantage at both start and bullpen pitching, and have a more productive line-up.
Both line-ups have grown significantly lately as they have been placed in the top 10 of the MLB in several advanced hit categories such as WAR, wRC, wOBA and hard hit rate over the past 14 days.
However, Musgrove was strong and should strive despite losing his record in the first half of the season to get back in shape on his last start before the All-Star break after being pelted at on his previous appearance.
The Padres are also at full capacity, while the Nationals could do without a few everyday players, including the brand new OF Kyle Schwarber and C Yan Gomes.
In addition, Lester’s Road Splits are even worse than his Home Splits. He’s 0-2 on the road with a 7.41 ERA (4.46 Home ERA), a 1.1 K / BB rate (2.2 K / BB rate at home), and a .988 Opponent OPS (0.788 Opponent’s OPS at home).
San Diego also has one of the best bullpens in the majors. The Padres Auxiliary Corps is the top 5 in K-BB%, Left-on-Base Percentage, xFIP and SIERA.
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« LEAN » on OVER 8 (-105) for a third of a unit as Padres-Hitter Lester should rake and Musgrove’s ERA, WHIP and K / BB rates have all been down in the past three months worsened.
It’s just « slim » however, as Washington’s line-up could fail without a few key sticks and we’re still waiting for the final line-up cards for both teams.
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