World News – AU – Pro Punter gives his late Saturday advice for Mackinnon Stakes

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It would not be a rare case for the last day of the Flemington Carnival However, the wind could become a factor which is forecast at 20 to 30 km / h in the south

A true south shouldn’t cause too many problems Note however that when it switches to the southeast it becomes a straight headwind which affects the guides Just races they will use the middle I wouldn’t be surprised if some people try the perimeter fence today because it was not in the game yet

Rosehill is a severe 8 and similar southerly winds are expected This will negatively affect the leaders at the right back where coverage will be important The route will likely be beneficial away from the rails in the straight I would look for horses that have some fence cover in the race and a fan further down the straight

The Mackinnon and Darley Sprint Group 1 races were presented yesterday on The Friday Line

Benchmark 80 for the start of the day and most of the focus around the top weight Almania His personal best would net him around $ 3 3 points I guess he won’t reach that level today and that it will be $ 6.50 and therefore no value at its current market price

As confirmed by the public market, the opportunities are plentiful There are a few horses at approximate price that interest me

Excelman (valued at $ 9) is a visually underwhelming feat at Geelong He climbed to an untried fourth place out of 2400 that day and didn’t watch the trip, especially he preferred the punches too Even with these issues in mind, he held his ground, suggesting the 2,000m drop is more likely to hit his endurance. Cool maps of the barrier 3

Wild Vitality is another that seems to have a better chance than what the market suggests He held up well the last time around Caulfield and tried to comfortably step into his preferred leadership position

It appears to be a two-horse race with Pondus and Le Don De Vie bringing the best valuation profiles Pondus has been fantastic in the Bendigo Cup when he didn’t have the chance to finish second Jockey Damian Lane has had to dodge early to avoid a broken horse, then had to endure a long sprint to miss Princess Jenni, who had a much better run while racing

The Don De Vie was very good in the Geelong Cup If anything, I thought they might have slowed down a bit too much in the middle of the stage, but he was still fighting on the line

A few points leaned me towards Le Don De Vie First, this is the best value of the pair on the market as I laid $ 2.60 and Le Don De Vie $ 3 Second, Le Don De Vie will run or will practically sit with Pondus who is likely to come back Third, Le Don De Vie has a better UK PB and he was hired more recently than Pondus’

The Don De Vie is the one to beat in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes Brett Holburt / Race photos via Getty Images

The total recall seems to be the most remarkable He won his virgin in this preparation, winning four out of six since his powerful 8¾ victory in the last start at Scone over 2200m weighing 635kg

His run before that was a good second at Warwick Farm over 2400m I have no doubt he will come back on the note he left on Scone, but even with that regression in mind he has looks good

Amy’s shadow has a clear advantage over the rest of the peloton and Fast Talking could improve dramatically Off the pitch drops pretty quickly

Savatiano was the first to win at Caulfield She then evaluated in two races at Flemington She returns to Sydney and competes in a race which gives her a very valuable opportunity

It is well weighted with the defined weights; Positive Peace would have to lose 25 kg from her and Wandabaa 8 kg for the mare trained by James Cummings to have a very good value

Obviously preferred positive peace is the hardest to beat She’s fine and beat the last start on a tough track Her last starting ranking is higher than Savatiano, but her career peaks are worse overall

Wandabaa looks good on the odds she had from her last start as a finalist on Positive Peace

Flemington Race 1 No13 Excelman (evaluation $ 9 – price $ 13) – 3 units Flemington Race 1 No13 Excelman ($ 3 – $ 3 50 place) – 5 units Flemington Race 1 No15 Wild Vitality ($ 31 – $ 46) – 1 Flemington Race 1 No15 Wild Vitality ($ 8.50 – $ 12 space) – 2 Flemington Race 5 No 2 Le Don De Vie ($ 3 – $ 440) – 20 Flemington Race 6 No9 Libertini ($ 4.50 to $ 6.50 * ) – 15 units Rosehill Race 4 No 9 Total recall ($ 2 80-4) – 22 units Rosehill Race 4 No 17 Amy’s Shadow ($ 5 50 to $ 7 50) – 8 units Rosehill Race 7 No 1 Savatiano ($ 2 70 to $ 3 20) – 24 units

* Libertini suggested increasing 9 units @ $ 7 Friday Line to 15 units on Saturdays

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Horse Races, LKS Mackinnon Stakes, Sports Betting, Course 5, Seppelt Wines Stakes Day, Flemington, Course 7

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