By
John Hyslop
in the
NBA basketball
Jan. 15, 2021 7:48 am PST
East and West collide as the Milwaukee Bucks host the Dallas Mavericks on Friday night. Luka Doncic and the Mavericks set fire to 2021 and won five of their first six games of the New Year.
Giannis Antetokounmpo and The Bucks are just as hot and have won six of their first seven games in 2021, including three in a row. </ Dallas has won the last two matchups after Milwaukee won three straight wins in the series. The Bucks are favored in this matchup with 5.5 points and there are many props for players to consider.
Only four teams in the NBA allow fewer points in the suit than the Milwaukee Bucks. They are a solid defensive team that ranks in the NBA top ten for defensive efficiency. What makes them special is the fact that they are the highest scoring team in the league, averaging 120.9 points per game.
Teams are forced to keep up and most are trying an approach in Style of Chuck and Duck. The teams seem to give up the inside game and settle for threes, as evidenced by the Bucks opponents, who averaged 36.7 three-point points per game – that’s ninth in the NBA.
This is playing into the hands of the Mavericks, who typically shoot 40 threes per game, making it the fifth in the league.
1. James Harden… 1,6682. Luka Doncic ……… 6153. LeBron James …… 3714. Damian Lillard …… 3245. Jamal Murray ……. 274
Doncic struggled with his three-ball to get the season started, but things have changed since the calendar was flipped to 2021. He’s made at least nine attempts from a long distance and scored at least three of them in three of the five games.
He’s had a game where he hit a season high of five Treys, so he feels it from the bottom. This game could be a script for a game where the Mavericks are running late, which could further force his hand to select it from a long distance. If so, it’s not crazy to think Luka covers that number.
Anytime there’s a player with the usage rate that Doncic enjoys, it’s wise to look at the points that support the rebounds market. Bettors pay a premium for superstars like Doncic, of course, but there is still some value on some nights. In a game like tonight, in which both teams are « up », it makes sense to take Lukas all-round number into account.
His 27th triple-double brings him past Elgin Baylor for the 17th time ever and 1 removed from binding Michael Jordan.
FanDuel currently has Doncic’s pkt reb number at 48.5, which seems a bit low given his good performance lately.
Doncic’s average is in five games played in 2021 at 53.4 points per game. He’s won over 48.5 in four of the five games, the only exception being that he had a triple-double against Orlando. In that game he only scored 20 points in 34 minutes, which ultimately led to him falling short.
The Mavericks were favored and blew out a understaffed Magic team, which won’t be the case against the bucks tonight should.
John has been betting on sports betting daily for the past 20 years and is considered by many to be an encyclopedia of walking sports betting. From obscure player props to sides and sums, if there’s a nook and cranny, John will find it.
John has been betting on sports betting daily for the past 20 years and is considered by many to be an encyclopedia of walking sports betting. From obscure player props to sides and sums, if there’s a nook and cranny, John will find it.
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