. . World News – CA – Iowa State vs.. . Texas: Hurricanes on the street undervalued

The US state of Iowa has a 45-0 loss to the US state of Kansas and will try to stay on the road to the Big 12 Austin to play Texas. This week, the Cyclones are the only Big 12 team with less than two conference losses.

Texas, on the other hand, has two conference losses and needs to win here to stay in the race for the conference championship game. The Longhorns could also fight some rust as they will be 20 days between games due to COVID-19 cancellations.

For the last five years the Longhorns have played 3-2 against the Cyclones. Will Iowa State stay at the top of the Big 12, or will Texas start the conference championship race?

There was a lot of hype around quarterback Brock Purdy and the Iowa state offense at the start of the season. While it was efficient for the most part, the Cyclones really excelled in the floor play behind Breece Hall. He currently leads the nation in frenzied yards and is runner-up in frenzied touchdowns. The cyclones occupy the 15th. Place in the expected additional points (EPA) per rush.

The Iowa State running game has been great all year, and as a result, the entire offense turned out well. Purdy wasn’t mentioned quite as often this season with the advent of Hall, but Purdy ranks 31st per game in the EPA. Space under the quarterbacks with at least 100 snapshots.

This season, the Iowa state’s offense ranks 27th. Place in the EPA, Jan.. Place in the success rate and the 31st. Place in the touchdown rate. The offensive line was also good, finishing 20th in Sack Tate. space. This offense finds a way to be incredibly balanced and can move the ball in various ways. If a defense shows weaknesses, there is a good chance the cyclones will find a way to take advantage of them.

Similar to the offensive, the defense of the state of Iowa has no major weaknesses. The defense of the cyclones occupies the 17th. Place in the success rate, the 38th. Place in the available available yards and the 18th. Place in the destination run. Up front the defense against the pass and the barrel was solid. It currently ranks 21st. Place in the bag rate and the 17th. Place in the stuff rate.

In the last five games, Iowa State has only allowed more than 24 points once. The Cyclones have also played against five of the same opponents as Texas and have done much better defensively against those teams.

Based on what most of us expected from Texas preseason, the offense was disappointing.

The Longhorns occupy the 79. Place in the success rate and the 82. Place in the first down rate. You have only won 46. 8% of the available shipyards, which is the 67th nationwide. Place corresponds. However, they were better in the Explosivity and Finishing Drives departments. The Longhorns occupy the 45th place with 7. Place in the explosive game rate. 3% and are 22. in finishing drives.

What’s weird about offensive fighting in Texas is that quarterback Sam Ehlinger played better than you’d think. He is currently 32. in the EPA quarterbacks with at least 100 snapshots per game and the second highest quarterback of the Big 12 per Pro Football Focus.

If Ehlinger plays well, what is responsible for the inefficiency of the offense? On the one hand, the offensive line ranks 67th. Place in the bag rate and the 68. Place in the stuff rate. Plus, the recipients of the Longhorns were really disappointing. Their top rated recipient, Brennan Eagles, ranks 126th in the PFF class. Place in the nation.

The Longhorns only have one receiver with at least 300 meters this season. Joshua Moore leads the team with 343 receiving yards, but 37% of those yards came in week 1 against UTEP. The Longhorns will definitely need an upgrade in their receivers in the future.

The Texas Defense ranks 34th. Place in the permissible explosive game rate (good!) And the 78. Place in the allowable success rate (not good) in the season. One reason the Texas Defense Against the Explosive Games has been so good is because of their express defense, which the EPA allows per express attempt, Nov.. Place occupied. However, this ranking can be inflated due to the strength of the opponent.

Texas has not faced a single team that is in the EPA’s top 65 per rush. His most senior opponent in this area was Oklahoma, currently ranked 66th. Place occupied. The Sooners really struggled to play the ball early in the season without running back without Rhamondre Stevenson, which included the game in Texas.

The Longhorns have yet to face something like this Iowa state attack, and it will be interesting to see how they hold up.

As I said earlier, these two teams have played against five of the same opponents (Baylor, Oklahoma, State of Oklahoma, Texas Tech, and TCU). .

In those five games, Iowa State was more efficient than Texas on both offense and defense. Against the same five opponents, the State of Iowa averaged a 46% success rate and a 36% defense success rate, a net success rate of 9. 3%. Texas averaged a 40% success rate in attack and allowed a 46% success rate in defense with a net success rate of -5. 4%.

I really think Iowa State is the better team here. The team is very even on either side of the ball, while Texas has weaknesses that the Cyclones should take advantage of. I’m playing Iowa State -4. 3 trying to find a reason to think twice but really couldn’t argue much for Texas. I quite like the cyclones in this matchup and would lean towards the money line.

Copyright 2020 © Action Network Inc. , All rights reserved. Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | AdChoices

DISCLAIMER: This website is 100% for entertainment purposes only and does not include real money bets.

If you or someone you know has a gambling problem and needs help, call 1-800 GAMBLER. This service is intended for adult users only.

Iowa State Cyclones Football, Big 12 Conference Football, American Football, College Football, Texas Longhorns, Tom Herman