World news – Chelsea vs. Everton: A lot of emphasis on Total at Stamford Bridge

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Teams with ambitions in the Champions League will meet on Monday. Chelsea travel to Merseyside to play a Premier League game with Everton.

The Blues have been second to Manchester City in England’s top division since manager Thomas Tuchel took office in late January. They have the best defense in the league and are waiting for the chance to break through against their opponents.

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The German coach has been unbeaten in 10 games, eight of which were in the league game. The most impressive results were two 1-0 wins at Stamford Bridge. One of these efforts took place in the Champions League game against league leaders Atlético Madrid on February 23, while the other took place last Thursday against Liverpool.

In the 10 games of the Blues under Tuchel, a total of 13 Scored goals only two of which were against her. The defense was absolutely spectacular, claiming to be the best in the league under their new manager.

Going forward, the talent is obviously there for Chelsea to break through. According to Understat, the Blues have only scored 10.25 expected goals (xG) in their eight league games under Tuchel as the focus is on the backline.

The Toffees enter the game in fifth place and one game in Hand one point behind Chelsea for next season’s final UCL spot.

Everton’s plus-six goal difference is the lowest of any club in the top half of the table (even Arsenal!), And xG data shows he’s the has been driving his luck all season.

The Toffees have scored 39 goals, but according to Understat only expected 32.60 goals without a penalty. They actually have a negative no-penalty expected goal difference at -0.19 up to that point.

After starting 2021 with just two wins in their first eight games, Everton changed the situation with three straight wins in that game . After a big 2-0 win over Liverpool at Anfield, they have recorded two consecutive 1-0 failures against Southampton and West Bromwich Albion.

The Toffees were fortunate to have not very much opposition with three games during this run was clinical. They allowed a combined 3.23 xGA including 1.02 on Thursday against the low baggies.

Action Network’s BJ Cunningham projected 2.42 xG in that game. Given Chelsea’s expensive talent and the dynamic Everton duo of Dominic Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison, that’s enough for me to endorse the over 2.5 total goals as my top pick.

Biggest reason why I’ll support the end: Since Tuchel’s reign at Chelsea began, Everton has 12.75 xGA, which is 13th in the league. However, the Toffees still score 14 points from nine games during this period.

Everton is giving chances while still chasing the result, a combination that is great for an over between two high-profile teams.

The Toffees have the midfield quality to maintain enough possession to set a fast pace, creating a game that is extremely open compared to Chelsea’s previous games.

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