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If you’re like me, the Champions League anthem is playing in your head because the tournament is back
The elite world club competition features a host of tantalizing games this fall, including one featuring teams that had a knack for finding the back of the net last season
Lazio and Borussia Dortmund have had opposing starts in their respective league campaigns, but let’s see what that means in terms of betting on the game:
Lazio are set to suffer a bit of a setback compared to last season, when they were Juventus’ closest challenger for the Serie A title before struggling after the summer campaign resumes
The club benefited greatly from 15 penalty goals last season, as their xG was 773 fewer in open play than their actual tally Lazio’s xGA was also 1,039 more than the 27 conceded in open game
Expected Goals (also known as xG) is an advanced statistic that indicates whether results are based on lasting factors like regular creation of chances to score, or if this is due to aspects such as luck or an exceptional goalkeeper
The Eagles have got off to a shaky start this season in Serie A, gaining four points in four games Lazio haven’t registered more than 100 xG in either of their last two league games – a 1-1 draw against Inter and 3-0 defeat against Sampdoria
Forward Ciro Immobile did not play against Sampdoria on Saturday due to a suspension, so his potential Champions League return will be a big boost for a struggling Lazio attack
Aside from a shocking defeat in Augsburg on Matchday 2 of the Bundesliga, Dortmund quickly took care of business
Blacks and Yellows beat Hoffenheim, 1-0, on Saturday Substitutes Erling Haaland and Marco Reus combined on the winner, Haaland helping his teammate on the game’s only goal
Haaland has scored 17 goals in 19 league appearances since arriving in Dortmund in January and will be fresh to lead the attack in Rome
Dortmund will always provide attacking flair, with a plethora of quality players to choose from, but the biggest advantage so far has been defenseManager Lucien Favre’s side are second in the Bundesliga at 328 xGA in their first four matches, behind league top RB Leipzig
Dortmund are generally good at scoring at least one goal in every game they play, so a solid baseline led by veteran Mats Hummels moving away from home in a place like Stadio Olimpico is a huge blow to the goal. thumb
Depending on form, these sides are going in opposite directions Dortmund’s biggest downfall in recent years has been its defense, which is booming Lazio, meanwhile, are struggling all over the pitch
Dortmund at 108 moneyline is good value for money Black and Yellow are on good form, and defensive stability with his 3-4-2-1 formation under Favre could be the difference between a breakthrough at the level national and in European competition this season
Haaland scoring first at 370 isn’t a bad value either, but I’ll just focus on Dortmund’s moneyline line here as it’s clear play given the teams’ current form.
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Lazio vs Dortmund
World news – UK – Champions League Guide: How to bet Lazio vs Borussia Dortmund