LONDON (Reuters) – JPMorgan said on Monday it expected the S&P 500 index SPX to hit 4,000 points by early 2021 and called Pfizer Inc’s PFEN COVID-19 vaccine update « one of the best backdrops for sustained gains in years »
“After a prolonged period of elevated risks (global trade war, COVID-19 pandemic, US election uncertainty, etc), the outlook is significantly clearing up, especially with news of a highly effective COVID-19 vaccine,” the US investment bank said in a note to clients
The bank said it expected the US equity index to hit about 4,500 by the end of 2021, up 25% from current levels The index rose 3% to slightly above 3,600 points on Monday
In a separate note, Citi said Pfizer’s experimental COVID-19 vaccine being 90% effective exceeded the most optimistic market expectations and that transport and leisure stocks have the most to gain from any vaccine
Citi said it favored Australian and UK equity markets due to their exposure to business sectors that outperform when nominal yields are rising
“More than any fiscal spending package or central bank lending program, a healthcare solution to COVID has the greatest potential to restore economic activity to its full potential, lifting deeply-depressed ‘social-close’ industries,” said Jeffrey Sacks, Citi Private Bank’s EMEA Investment Strategist
Citi said US stocks may lag any vaccine-driven rallies in Europe or Asia due to their heavy exposure to the technology sector, which has done well during lockdowns and social restrictions
UK bluechip index FTSE 100 FTSE soared 47% while the S&P 500 rose 3% on Monday
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JPMorgan Chase, S&P 500 Index, Citigroup, S&P Global Ratings, Stock market, Financial services
World news – IN – JPMorgan sees S&P 500 surging to 4,000 points in early-2021
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