World News – US – Cardinals Should Destroy Padres

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The overwhelming consensus among baseball tipsters is that the Padres will win this 3-game Wild Card streak with the Cardinals And look, I get The Padres are the exciting young team, and their 84-point differential is nothing to do with it. to smell

Dynamic projection systems start their season based on pre-season projections, and it is only in the second half of the season that the results of the current season gain more weight. not reached the 80-game mark, so preseason projections are still (arguably) more relevant

So while the Padres outperformed the Cardinals in the 60-game season, it’s worth noting that the preseason projections saw them roughly even PECOTA felt the cards were slightly better; ZiPS gave the Padres a slight advantage

The Padres got off to a warmer start in the first 60 games, but over a truly full season these two teams would likely be much closer

No team in MLB history has played as many games as the Cardinals have played in 43 days As a result:

Obviously that was a bit of Twitter trolling, but I still think there’s something about that handpicked factoid Of course the Cardinals had to play a lot more games to almost match the Dodgers in wins but do you think it was easy to play all those extra games?

On top of that, a significant portion of the roster was playing these games while recovering from a devastating respiratory virus, which can also lead to complications in the heart and brain.

Now what has been the cumulative effect of all of this on the performance of the Cardinals team? Who the hell knows But there certainly was an impact The two days they’ve spent before the playoffs is the total number of days they’ve spent in the last month and a half So there’s a very good chance that the Cardinals are fresher and stronger than we’ve seen them this season

The schedules were very lopsided this year, and nowhere has the competition been worse than in the West The Padres have played a grand total of 13 games against teams that finished with a better than 500 record, and went a lukewarm 6-7 against this competition

So if you keep track of the asterisks on the impressive numbers of Padres, they came in a running time of only 60 games and against relatively little competition

Over the season, the Padres have struck for a 115 WRC, good for 5th best in MLB Over the past 14 days, they have struck for just 84 WRC, good 22nd in the league

The Padres’ pitch has also been lower than the Cardinals over the past two weeks, with an ERA / FIP for the Padres of 407/428, versus 360/387 for the Cardinals And speaking of pitching

The Padres’ two top starters Mike Clevinger and Dinelson Lamet are both injured They might not be available for the Wild Card series, or even if they are available they will likely be downgraded

This likely erases the slight statistical advantage the Padres had in the starting pitching department, and the Cardinals’ top box rates The question is whether or not Clevinger and Lamet will be available Here is the latest from Bob Nightengale chronically wrong:

Encouraging news for the #Padres: They not only believe that Dinelson Lamet (bicep twitch) might be ready to kick off the first or second game of the wild-card series against the #STLCards, but are also cautiously optimistic that Mike Clevinger (elbow conflict) could start Game 3

Listen, I was expecting the Nightengale rule to come true and prove it’s wrong but it actually happened while I was writing this post Chris Paddock was named the Padres starter for Game 1 Jayce Tingler (the man, not the bestselling Adam & Eve) submitted his final list for the series This article is supposed to be published at the same time, but as of this writing, it is possible that Clevinger and Lamet are not even on the list

So far I have told you how the rejuvenated Cardinals will face a recently declining team, who were not to be better than them, have faced very weak competition in just 60 games. , and maybe without their first two pitchers

If all this doesn’t convince you that the Cardinals should destroy the Padres, just remember that these 3-game streaks really are a snap. Hell, even five and seven sets of games are mostly a draw

Fangraphs crosses the numbers and they have the Padres at a 60/40 favorite to advance Any team in the playoffs could get past this 3-game Wild Card round, and the Cardinals have a better chance than most

San Diego Padres St. Louis Cardinals, National League, Major League Baseball Playoffs