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The women’s flyweight division will be exhibited for UFC 255, with four of the division’s top five fighters competing on Saturday. Cynthia Calvillo is fourth placed contender and will rival the division’s runner-up contender Katlyn Chookagian. Calvillo is a major favorite in this fight and will carry the higher Fantasy salaries across all platforms. It costs 8 at DraftKings. $ 700 and at Fanduel $ 19. Chookagian costs $ 7. 500 or. $ 11. This fight is scheduled for three rounds and driving the full fifteen minutes at -350 to make a decision is a big favorite.
Calvillo is a big favorite, largely because of her 9-1-1 record. Her only loss was to the division’s top female wrestler, Carla Esparza. She is 6-1-1 in the UFC and also beat current UFC competitors Montana De La Rosa and Gillian Robertson before joining the UFC. In 9 career victories she has 2 wins by KO / TKO, 3 wins by submission and 4 wins by decision. All three submission wins were achieved at the UFC level. Though she doesn’t throw at the same pace as Chookagian (she averages 44). 7 hits per round compared to Chookagian at 59. 7) She lands at a higher rate with an average of 21. 1 significant hit per round (compared to Chookagian with 20). 9). She is also the much more accomplished grappler of the two.
Chookagian is 14-4 overall with 2 wins by KO / TKO, 1 win by filing and 11 wins by decision. She is 7-4 in the UFC with notable wins against Lauren Murphy, Irene Aldana, Joanne Calderwood and Jennifer Maia. It will have significant size and range advantages over Calvillo, who gives up five inches in height and four inches in reach. If she can consistently improve Calvillo for three rounds, she has a good chance of making her 12th. To achieve victory by decision. However, she will have a significant downside to the argument and will do her best to make this a kickboxing affair. She has lost 3-3 in the last six fights against the division’s elite in Jessica Eye, Valentina Shevchenko and Jessica Andrade.
It is to be expected that this fight will mostly be fought on legs, with Chookagian doing her best to keep their distance. If she can keep Calvillo from stepping in the pocket, then she has the opportunity to take advantage of her size and take advantage. Calvillo will try to get within Chookagian’s reach where she can trade strikes on an equal footing. Calvillo averages 0. 66 takedowns per round and want to improve that to maintain their grappling superiority. If she can successfully complete 3 takedowns in this fight, her chances of winning are even higher. If this fight ends before the last bell, then it is more likely that Calvillo will raise his arm in that fight.
Calvillo is not only the better all-round fighter in this matchup, but she also has much better goal potential. With 5 placements in 9 wins, her chances of getting an early graduation bonus are much higher than Chookagian’s, who only has 3 placements in 14 wins. In fact, in eleven trips to the Octagon, Chookagian has never defeated an UFC opponent. Calvillo has the higher Fantasy Average, higher significant hits per round average, and better closing record. For all of these reasons, Calvillo on Saturday offers better DFS playback for all formats and on all platforms. I will limit their presence in GPP competitions as the goal potential for this fight is not very high, but I like them very much in cash lineups. She has solid bottom, high profit expectations and still retains the potential for a finish. I’ll let Chookagian fade entirely.
For more combat studies, keep an eye on FantasyCruncher. com ahead of UFC 255 on Dec.. November.
Combat Study – 21. November 2020 Paul Craig will face one of the UFC players of all time …
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Katlyn Chookagian, Cynthia Calvillo, Ultimate Fighting Championship, Jéssica Andrade
World News – USA – UFC 255 – 21. November 2020: Cynthia Calvillo versus Katlyn Chookagian
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